CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
CSA
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CSA
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 0
BOT
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
PAR
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRZ
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
OES
0 - 1
NAU
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 2
PPE
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 0
NAU
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |