CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
CSA
1 - 0
CEB
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 1
GUA
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 0
POR
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
NAU
2 - 0
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
NAU
0 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |