CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 4
CSA
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 2
CSA
24%
29%
47%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 0
IPA
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |