CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 0
CSA
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CSA
0 - 0
CAM
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
CSA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CSA
5 - 0
FEI
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATA
0 - 0
MUR
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |