CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 0
ATA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
3 - 2
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
4 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CEO
2 - 1
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CSE
1 - 1
MUR
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |