CSA vs Jacyobá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
DSA
1 - 0
CSA
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
43%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 4
CSA
27%
31%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 1
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jacyobá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 1
CEO
32%
22%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |