CSA vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
CSA
29%
31%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
CSA
33%
32%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
PPE
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
ITU
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
LON
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
ITU
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |