CSA vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CSA
1 - 3
COR
35%
24%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATA
3 - 2
CSA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CSA
0 - 2
COR
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
IPA
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
COR
3 - 1
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
IPA
2 - 1
ATA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |