CSA vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CSA
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CSA
1 - 2
CRB
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
CSA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CSA
3 - 3
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
IPA
3 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
COR
4 - 3
IPA
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
IPA
0 - 1
COR
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
IPA
3 - 1
ASA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 2
IPA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |