CSA vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 0
CSA
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 2
CSA
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 3
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
IPA
1 - 4
COR
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
4 - 2
IPA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
IPA
1 - 1
CSE
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 1
IPA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
IPA
0 - 0
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |