CSA vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 0
BJE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CSE
2 - 3
CSA
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 1
COR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
2 - 3
CSE
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
0 - 1
CRB
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
BJE
0 - 2
IPA
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
IPA
0 - 4
MUR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |