CSA vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
TOM
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |