CSA vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
ABC
1 - 1
CSA
34%
31%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 1
ANA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CSE
0 - 1
CSA
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
CSA
0 - 0
CSE
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
GOD
2 - 2
GRE
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
MIR
4 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |