CSA vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSA
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |