CSA vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
25.7%
64%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
22%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
29.7%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 4
ATP
19%
28%
54%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
71%
21%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 2
SPO
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 1
CSA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 2
FLA
9%
22%
70%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
GRE
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |