CSA vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 3
VAS
25%
29%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CSA
85%
12%
4%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 1
COR
21%
29%
51%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 2
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |