CSA vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 3
CSA
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
CSA
4 - 2
CON
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 2
CSA
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSA
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 0
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLU
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CFC
3 - 2
FLU
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 2
BAH
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FEI
3 - 2
FLU
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |