CSA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
CSA
5 - 0
TUN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SDJ
2 - 2
CSA
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
4 - 1
NAU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BOA
0 - 2
CSA
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOS
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
JAC
0 - 5
BAH
8%
21%
72%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
BOS
0 - 0
BAH
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BAH
1 - 2
JAC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |