CSA vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
OES
2 - 1
CSA
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 1
CON
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 1
CSA
73%
19%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 2
CRB
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 2
CUI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CUI
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 2
CUI
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |