CSA vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
CEO
68%
18%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
CSA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CSA
3 - 0
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
3 - 2
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
ITA
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRB
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |