CSA vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 1
COR
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 2
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COR
4 - 2
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
3 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
CAP
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
COR
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |