Alagoano Final Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
CSA vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
COR
4 - 3
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 3
CSA
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
COR
2 - 3
COR
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
COR
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ASA
2 - 0
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |