CSA vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
CSA
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
CSA
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 2
COT
18%
27%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
COT
35%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |