CSA vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
CSA
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
CSA
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CSA
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 0
BOT
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
OES
73%
20%
7%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
CHA
22%
29%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
CSA
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
66%
23%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 5
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |