CSA vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
CSA
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
CSA
86%
10%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRB
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
TRE
2 - 4
BOT
21%
28%
51%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BOT
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |