CSA vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CSA
5 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
CSA
8%
20%
73%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 3
CSA
4%
12%
84%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CSA
4 - 0
BRA
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 3
CSP
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAY
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |