CSA vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
CSA
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 2
CSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
REM
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
OPE
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 3
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |