CSA vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
10%
19%
71%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 2
BAH
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
AFP
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 0
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
SER
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
AFP
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |