CSA vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CSA
2 - 2
SAM
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
5 - 0
CSA
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
3 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 1
ABC
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
ABC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 1
ABC
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |