Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
3º
2º
36
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
CSU
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 1
GAL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 1
RAP
42%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
CSU
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 2
CSU
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SFC
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
CLU
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |