Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
5º
3º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 1
CSU
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSU
1 - 2
STB
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
1 - 2
CSU
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CSU
3 - 1
RAP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 2
CSU
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SFC
7 - 2
RAP
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
CLU
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 2
CSU
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |