Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-4
Universitatea Craiova vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 3
CSU
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
RBL
3 - 1
CSU
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CSU
2 - 2
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SSG
1 - 0
CSU
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CSU
0 - 0
CSM
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
RBL
3 - 1
CSU
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
RBL
0 - 3
HUR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
HÄC
1 - 1
RBL
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
RBL
4 - 0
HÄC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MEU
2 - 2
RBL
5%
13%
82%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |