CD San Fernando vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFE
43%
22%
35%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
REC
7 - 0
SFE
77%
13%
10%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RJA
2 - 0
SFE
67%
17%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SFE
1 - 2
CAD
69%
16%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ALG
2 - 1
SFE
46%
21%
33%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
UTR
3 - 3
XER
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
CAA
3 - 1
UTR
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
GRA
3 - 1
UTR
49%
22%
30%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
REC
2 - 1
UTR
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RJA
6 - 1
UTR
80%
12%
9%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |