CD San Fernando vs Santaella 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
COR
2 - 1
SFE
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
SFE
2 - 2
CDR
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
POZ
2 - 0
SFE
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SFE
1 - 1
AYA
62%
24%
15%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
LAP
1 - 1
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santaella 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
SAN
4 - 1
ALG
45%
28%
28%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
DHE
3 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
35%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEU
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
ECI
5 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
SAN
0 - 0
LEB
57%
24%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |