CD San Fernando vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CDB
1 - 0
SFE
66%
23%
12%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
SFE
2 - 1
AGD
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 1
SFE
71%
21%
8%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
SFE
2 - 0
GIM
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SFE
4 - 0
TER
57%
27%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
3 - 0
RJA
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
0 - 1
XER
55%
27%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ANT
2 - 0
RJA
37%
34%
29%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 1
FCA
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALM
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |