Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
CD San Fernando vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
54%
28%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
JER
2 - 1
SFE
53%
27%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
SFE
4 - 0
AGD
50%
28%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ELD
2 - 0
SFE
65%
23%
12%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
SFE
1 - 0
BAL
59%
26%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
54%
28%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
POR
65%
24%
11%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
MEL
1 - 3
RJA
45%
31%
24%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDB
59%
26%
16%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
XER
0 - 2
RJA
59%
27%
14%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |