CD San Fernando vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
AGD
2 - 2
SFE
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
CDB
1 - 0
SFE
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
SFE
2 - 0
ORI
71%
20%
10%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CPC
1 - 2
SFE
47%
29%
24%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
SFE
2 - 1
REC
51%
28%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
RJA
1 - 1
POR
68%
22%
10%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
RJA
3 - 0
IME
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
XER
0 - 1
RJA
56%
28%
16%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
RJA
6 - 1
CDB
60%
25%
15%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |