CD San Fernando vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BET
2 - 1
SFE
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIL
0 - 0
SFE
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 0
SFE
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
DBN
3 - 2
SFE
39%
30%
31%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDB
66%
22%
12%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ARC
1 - 2
MEL
54%
26%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
MEL
2 - 1
BET
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
MEL
1 - 1
BET
69%
21%
11%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VEL
3 - 0
MEL
33%
32%
35%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |