CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 3
POL
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CRD
3 - 2
SFE
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 1
POZ
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SOL
3 - 0
SFE
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAD
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
CDL
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LUC
5 - 0
BET
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
LUC
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |