CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
SFE
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SFE
2 - 0
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
SFE
24%
28%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
SFE
4 - 1
JER
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
AYA
1 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
3 - 0
XRZ
71%
18%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
POZ
50%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
CAB
2 - 4
LUC
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |