CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
NUE
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
DHE
2 - 2
SFE
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 0
SOL
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 0
ARC
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LUC
2 - 0
ANT
38%
28%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
LUC
71%
19%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
15%
25%
59%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |