CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
CDR
1 - 1
SFE
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
SFE
3 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
DHE
0 - 0
SFE
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SFE
3 - 1
AYA
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
RAY
4 - 6
SFE
13%
22%
66%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
LUC
3 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BAL
0 - 2
LUC
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
MON
49%
28%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
UDT
0 - 0
LUC
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
LUC
0 - 0
PAL
49%
28%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |