CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
RAM
2 - 2
SFE
14%
22%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
SFE
2 - 1
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
SFE
5 - 0
RAY
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
LAP
0 - 3
SFE
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SFE
2 - 0
CAD
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
LUC
0 - 0
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
SRQ
0 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
LUC
1 - 0
ARC
66%
22%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
MON
1 - 0
LUC
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |