CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
PAL
0 - 0
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
SFE
2 - 0
BAL
35%
29%
37%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
ATC
2 - 0
SFE
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
SFE
1 - 1
UDR
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
JER
3 - 1
SFE
54%
25%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
LUC
2 - 5
CAD
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
MAI
4 - 2
LUC
56%
24%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
LUC
3 - 1
LEB
53%
26%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
COR
1 - 0
LUC
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
LUC
2 - 2
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |