CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
COR
1 - 3
SFE
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
MAI
1 - 0
SFE
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SFE
2 - 1
UDR
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1992 |
CDR
1 - 1
SFE
31%
29%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
SFE
1 - 0
POZ
57%
25%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
LUC
1 - 1
CAD
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
LUC
2 - 0
JER
63%
23%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUC
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1992 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARC
61%
23%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
LUC
1 - 2
ASJ
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |