CD San Fernando vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CFC
3 - 1
SFE
62%
25%
14%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CDB
1 - 0
SFE
66%
23%
12%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
SFE
2 - 1
AGD
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 1
SFE
71%
21%
8%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LOR
2 - 1
XER
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ANT
1 - 0
LOR
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
LOR
2 - 1
FCA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
HER
2 - 0
LOR
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REU
1 - 1
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |