CD San Fernando vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
CAA
3 - 2
SFE
49%
22%
30%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
SFE
1 - 0
SDC
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
SFE
3 - 0
BAL
69%
16%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
CAT
3 - 1
SFE
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
MEL
5 - 1
SFE
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
LCF
2 - 3
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
CAT
5 - 2
LCF
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
LCF
2 - 3
MEL
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
ANT
2 - 2
LCF
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
CAD
4 - 3
LCF
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |