CD San Fernando vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 0
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
EXT
1 - 1
SFE
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
VAL
1 - 1
SFE
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
HER
3 - 0
EXT
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
HER
2 - 2
CEU
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |