CD San Fernando vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 2
SFE
82%
11%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
SFE
1 - 1
MAL
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
EXT
4 - 1
SFE
74%
15%
12%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
SFE
2 - 0
SDC
80%
12%
9%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PUE
4 - 1
SFE
37%
23%
40%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CDT
1 - 1
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
MUR
0 - 1
HER
64%
18%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
HER
2 - 1
MAL
69%
17%
13%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
EXT
1 - 2
HER
52%
22%
25%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |