CD San Fernando vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
61.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 3
SFE
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
SFE
3 - 4
CAD
12%
23%
65%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BET
4 - 1
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SFE
3 - 1
ANT
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 1
SFE
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
POL
3 - 2
UBC
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
POL
14%
25%
61%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
G74
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ROQ
0 - 3
POL
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
GUA
73%
19%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |